2024 United States presidential election in California

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2024 United States presidential election in California
Reporting	63%as of Nov. 8, 2024, 8:24 PM PST
Harris 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%	Trump 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
President before election; Joe Biden; Democratic	Elected President ; Donald Trump; Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.^[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.^[2]

The most populous state in the union and one of the most Democratic, California is a deeply blue state today and has voted Democratic in every presidential election starting in 1992. It has done so by double digits in each of them excluding 2004, when John Kerry won it by 9.95 points. It is thus expected that California will continue its streak, with Vice President Kamala Harris – a native Californian who served as the state's attorney general from 2011 to 2017 and later represented it in the U.S. Senate from 2017 to 2021 before assuming the vice presidency – being the Democratic nominee for president. Harris was the first Californian to appear on a major party presidential ticket since Ronald Reagan in 1984.

With 72% of the vote in, Harris is winning California by 19 points. Despite this being Harris' home state, this is a significant move rightward from Joe Biden's 29 point win in 2020. This is keeping in line with a trend of other blue states, such as New York and Illinois, being the states to trend rightward the most in 2024. In addition, Harris's performance in California was the worst for a Democratic candidate since 2004.

Trump appears to have flipped nine counties that were won by Biden in 2020: Butte, Fresno, Inyo, Merced, Nevada, Riverside, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, and San Bernardino. Of these nine, all except Butte and Inyo were also won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. These counties appear to be outside of her home San Francisco Bay Area region, where Harris seems to have matched Biden's performance. Trump’s win in Riverside County, San Bernardino, Fresno, San Joaquin, Merced and Stanislaus marked the first time they voted for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004.

This also marked the first election since 2004 where the Democratic Party failed to obtain at least 60% of the vote statewide.

^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[1] Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[2] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

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