2024 United States presidential election in Iowa

2024 United States presidential election in Iowa

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Reporting
99%
as of November 10, 2024, 1:39 PM CST
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 926,653 706,556
Percentage 56.0% 42.7%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

An Upper Midwestern state previously considered a battleground and a bellwether state for decades, Iowa voted significantly more Republican than the nation-at-large in both 2016 and 2020 and is now considered a moderately red state at the federal and state levels. Republican Donald Trump won the state by a comfortable margin of 8.2% while losing nationally in 2020, despite polls indicating a close race. Biden became the first Democrat to be elected president without winning Iowa since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

Furthermore, during the 2022 midterms, all three statewide incumbent Republicans (governor, secretary of agriculture, and secretary of state) won reelection by more than 18%, two of three statewide incumbent Democrats (28-year incumbent attorney general and 40-year incumbent treasurer) lost to Republican challengers, and the remaining incumbent Democrat (4-year incumbent auditor) won by less than 3,000 votes and 0.23%. Republicans also won all four of Iowa's U.S. House seats.[2][3] As such, for most of the race Iowa was expected to be a safe red state in 2024.[4] A poll performed by Selzer and Co. and published by the Des Moines Register on November 2 claimed Harris to be up by 3%, leading some to predict a far closer race than initially expected.[5][6][7]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[8][9] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[10]

Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in April.[11]

Donald Trump won the state by a margin of 13%, the widest margin for a candidate since 1972.[12][13] This is the first time since 1996 that Iowa was carried by double digits and the first for a Republican since 1980. It also marks the first time since 1984 that the state voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections and the first time since 2012 that it voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Trump's 56% of the vote in Iowa is the largest percentage a Republican has achieved since the 1972 election. This also marks the first time since 1984 that Scott County voted for the Republican candidate.

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ "Iowa Election Results and Maps 2022 | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  3. ^ Murray, Isabella. "The congressional race that could indicate just how red Iowa has shifted". ABC News. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  4. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  5. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  6. ^ "Harris grabs unexpected last-minute lead over Trump in Iowa poll | US elections 2024 | The Guardian". amp.theguardian.com. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  7. ^ "What to Make of the Shock Poll Showing Harris Ahead in Iowa?". Townhall.com. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  8. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  9. ^ Levine, Sam; Gambino, Lauren (July 22, 2024). "Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  10. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  11. ^ McCullough, Caleb (April 13, 2024). "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. makes pitch for president in Iowa". The Gazette. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
  12. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Pollster J. Ann Selzer: 'I'll be reviewing data' after Iowa Poll misses big Trump win". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  13. ^ "Trump's Iowa Win Is a Harsh Reminder to Never Trust Election Polls". The New Republic. ISSN 0028-6583. Retrieved November 6, 2024.

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